The playing strength ranking
Team For Against Quotient For/Counter Change of Quotient Shift
|2||FC Bayern München||2.20||0.86||2.55||-0.05||+0|
|3||FC Schalke 04||1.85||1.18||1.58||+0.05||+0|
|9||FSV Mainz 05||1.43||1.54||0.93||-0.06||-1|
Goals ø expected 2.82
So this is the current ranking from the computer’s point of view after the 27th matchday. The ranking is sorted by the quotient, which is the expected goals scored divided by the expected goals conceded. These values are to be understood as the expected goals scored against average or, if simply multiplied by 34, the total goal expectation for the season. Whereby these expectations are subject to constant changes due to the current results.
Although Bayern scores more goals and does not concede quite as many more, they are (currently) behind Dortmund in the quotient. The last two results in particular have caused a larger gap, as can be seen in the column “Change in quotient”.
At the very back, Cologne and Hertha have swapped places. Of course, this was caused by the high defeat of the one compared to the (clear) victory of the other. Whether one can intuitively feel this way is something the reader must judge for himself (this applies, of course, to the entire ranking). But if you look at it frequently – preferably weekly – you will get used to the assessments and also the shifts. In any case, these values form the basis for the fair odds for the next week (although there are other parameters in parallel, such as the very important and also individually maintained home advantage).